Ivory Coast, or Cote d'Ivoire, is back on the brink of disaster, and this time round, the deranged Laurent Gbagbo will not survive.
Gbagbo has refused to accept the results of presidential election that showed that he lost the elections, and has now taken oath to continue as president.
Let me recap for you what has happened since the year 2000, until now when the west African nation is by the edge of a precipice.
- On September 19, 2002, dissident soldiers attacked Abidjan to try to overthrow Gbagbo. They failed, but managed to sp0lit the country in two; rebels seize north of country.
- On October 30 2005, scheduled presidential polls were postponed. Further postponements are made until this year, 2010. Polls were finally held 29 November 2010.
- Gbagbo took 38% of the first-round vote, while Ouattara took 32% of the first-round vote. Third-candidate, with just over 20 per cent later backed Ouattara for second round.
- On November 28 a run-off between incumbent president Laurent Gbagbo and rival Alassane Ouattara was held.
- The country's election commission announced Thursday last week that Ouattara had won. However, new results released Friday on national television by a Gbagbo loyalist who heads the constitutional council said that the incumbent president had in fact been re-elected. United States, the United Nations, France and the European Union reject results showing Gbagbo win.
- Gbagbo was sworn-in as Ivory Coast president on Saturday. Ouattara submitted a rival oath to undertake the presidency and said he would start a parallel government.
- Today, AU is sending Former South African President Thabo Mbeki to help mediate the dispute. Mbeki is sympathetic to Gbagbo, and I don't think he will achieve anything.
My take. Gbagbo is hopping that the protests will die down and he will continue ruling the country. This is such a shame for Africa. Ivory Coast has been through som people andb the people would really like to see their copuntry move on; not this backward nonsense of Gbagbo.
I really think that Gbagbo will not survive; either way. He will face massive internation isolation or the rebels will go back to war.